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For the Record: Even if you squint hard, the map still looks pretty blue

 
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We made a valiant effort yesterday to talk about the issues, but then Wikileaks started the day with more hacked John Podesta emails about Hillary Clinton, and several media outlets ended the day with several women stepping forward and accusing Donald Trump of sexual harassment. And yes, all indications are that we have 26 more days of this in store.

October surprises, continued

Here we go, in somewhat chronological order:

Wikileaks: The latest batch of emails  included Clinton campaign communications director Jennifer Palmieri (who is Catholic herself) saying that Catholic converts simply chose "the most socially acceptable, politically conservative religion - their rich friends wouldn't understand if they became evangelicals." Other emails showed disagreement on how Clinton should have handled the private-server email scandal early in the campaign, and that she suffered from a lack of voter enthusiasm compared to primary challenger Bernie Sanders and potential general-election foe Marco Rubio. "Right now I am petrified that Hillary is almost totally dependent on Republicans nominating Trump," columnist Brent Budowsky told Podesta. And for one final insult, Podesta (who has to have the worst password management skills in D.C.) got his Twitter account hacked yesterday evening.

Sexual harassment allegations: Trump was hit with sexual harassment allegations from several women throughout the day. People Magazine reporter Natasha Stoynoff  said Trump stuck his tongue in her mouth and told her they were going to have an affair, as she was interviewing Donald and Melania on their first wedding anniversary. BuzzFeed News reported four contestants in the 1997 Miss Teen USA pageant said Trump walked in on them when they were changing. The New York Times reported accusations from two women , one who said she was groped by Trump on a commercial flight to New York in the 1980s, and another who said Trump kissed her on the mouth outside an elevator in Trump Tower in 2005. Another woman told the Palm Beach Post that Trump groped her at his estate in 2003. And to top off the day, CBS News released video of Trump calling "dibs" on a fourth-grader in 1997, saying he'd be dating her in 10 years.

America, everyone.

Even if you squint, the map looks pretty blue

Twenty months ago, the thing that was tearing this country apart at the seams was whether a photo showed a white dress with gold lace or a blue dress with black lace . Fast-forward to October 2016, and we're all arguing over whether the electoral map looks red with hints of blue, or blue with hints of red. Trumpians would point to Donald's 1- to 5-point lead in the LA Times/USC tracking poll, while Clintonites would point to Hillary's 1- to 14-point lead in ... well, basically every other poll.

Tuesday's iteration of the LA Times/USC poll, though, called it a tie. (Technically, it said Clinton was up by 0.4%.) It was the first time in a month that the daily poll (which measures the previous week's worth of data) showed anything but a Trump lead.

For Trumpians, there are still a few lifelines:

  1. The final debate: Trump has one more chance to top Clinton in front of a national TV audience (more on that below). He fared better in the second debate than the first, and the third time's the charm, right?
  2. Wikileaks: The polls look bad now, but surely Wikileaks has something earth-shattering to reveal about Clinton in the next 26 days and they're just waiting for the right moment (early voting be damned).
  3. The "Shy Tory" Factor: Part of British political theory; the idea is that right-leaning poll respondents are unwilling to share their true feelings with pollsters because the views may be seen as unpopular or objectionable.
  4. All polls are completely fictional: Of course, all the polls are wrong because polling is completely made up, and the conspiracy runs so deep that even Breitbart has been in on it for months.

Ken Bone better be there

Fox News' Chris Wallace has announced the topics to which he'll beg the candidates to address during the final presidential debate next week in Las Vegas. "Please," Wallace will say, "let's circle back to the original question, which was about ..."

... debt and entitlements." (Clinton) (Trump)
... immigration." (Clinton) (Trump)
... the economy." (Clinton) (Trump)
... the Supreme Court." (Clinton) (Trump)
... foreign hot spots." (Clinton) (Trump)
... fitness to be president." (Clinton) (Trump)

The 90-minute debate will be divided into 15-minute segments covering each of the six subjects. Wallace selected the topics himself, which at first glance appear to be more specific and policy-oriented than either the first debate's topics ("America's Direction," "Achieving Prosperity" and "Securing America") and the more-or-less unannounced topics at the second town hall-style debate. We don't doubt the candidates' abilities to steer the questions toward the topics they'd rather talk about, but that last topic ... yikes. Meek Mill will watch that segment, then delete all his as-yet-unreleased diss tracks and dedicate his life to conflict resolution.

More from the campaign trail

Fact check: Trump twists facts on WikiLeaks (FactCheck.org)
Pence to conservative Christians: Forgive Trump, help him win (Indianapolis Star)
Trump: Islamic State may take over U.S. if Clinton wins (USA TODAY OnPolitics)
Rubio: Clinton still worse (The News-Press)
Clinton backer LeBron James: That wasn't locker room talk, that was trash talk (USA TODAY OnPolitics)
Trump backer Tom Brady: No comment (For the Win)
ABC political analyst: Detroit Lions have a better shot at a Super Bowl win than Trump has of winning the Oval Office (Detroit Free Press)
FiveThirtyEight: Actually, no. The Lions are terrible (FiveThirtyEight)

America is so over this election, it's creating alternate universe fanfic

After FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver posted maps showing what the Electoral College results would look like if only men or only women voted, the Twitterverse came up with map variations based on everything from bees to  hand-wash-only instructions to Bugs Bunny to Ludacris' "Area Codes." But we're going to give the final word to GQ's Freddie Campion.




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