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The Note: Melania Flies Solo

 

   
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November 3, 2016 MORE POLITICS >
Melania Flies Solo
Melania Trump Hitting Campaign Trail
For most of the 2016 presidential campaign, Melania Trump has opted to stay mostly on the sidelines, citing her priorities as a mother. And when she has stepped out on the campaign trail, she has typically maintained a non-speaking role by her husband's side. But today, with just five days until Election Day, Mrs. Trump is breaking from the norm to headline her first solo campaign event of the 2016 general election in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, ABC's JORDYN PHELPS notes. She will be introduced by Karen Pence, the wife of her husband's running mate, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence. It will also be her first speech since her address to the Republican National Convention this summer. That speech was quickly overshadowed by allegations that it had plagiarized certain lines from Michelle Obama's 2008 address to the Democratic National Convention, a charge for which a Trump aide later accepted fault. http://abcn.ws/2f4o9SK
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Political Geography
Mrs. Trump is making her Thursday debut in the crucial Philadelphia suburbs, which often decide the outcome of Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes. Polling out of Pennsylvania last month showed Clinton in a comfortable lead in the state by over 6 points, but the Trump campaign is making a play for the state. http://abcn.ws/2f4o9SK
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What She'll Say
Trump is expected to tell voters about her experience growing up in Slovenia and what she hopes to accomplish as first lady if her husband is elected into office, according to Trump's campaign manager. "She'll talk about her life here and her life in Slovenia where she grew up," campaign manager Kellyanne Conway said on ABC's "The View" in an interview yesterday, ABC's VERONICA STRACQUALURSI notes. http://abcn.ws/2fw593I
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Analysis - ABC's Rick Klein
"We don't operate on innuendo," President Obama said this week, operating with a distinct whiff of what might be called innuendo. After all, it's the Clinton campaign that accused FBI Director James Comey of engaging in "innuendo" in putting out his unsatisfying statement on Friday, and then saying nothing publicly. The president said he wasn't commenting on any particular case when he went on to say, "We don't operate on incomplete information… We don't operate on leaks." This is a brush-back pitch from the president, and about as far as he can go in calling out the director of the FBI in his case. The leaks from inside the FBI even since the president spoke have edged ever-closer to the political – a fact that Obama knows needs dealing with regardless of who wins next week. If supposed or presumed investigations proceed into next year, it may be more than innuendo that is dropped on the next president. For now, though, the best Clinton and her allies (including Obama) can hope is that the leaks and innuendo cease for the next few days.
By the Numbers - Beneath a Close Election Contest Lie Deep Rifts Among Groups
Profound rifts among groups lie beneath the close presidential contest, underscoring the country's fundamental political divisions not only by race, gender and education but also by factors ranging from religious belief to residential area. Overall, likely voters divide 47-45 percent between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. Third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein have 3 and 2 percent support, respectively. There's a 22-point gender gap in the contest, nearly double the norm in elections since 1976. And that pales compared with other gaps -- 44 points between college- and non-college educated whites, 65 points between whites and nonwhites, 66 points between rural and urban residents and 97 points between white evangelicals and likely voters who don't profess a particular religion. MORE FROM ABC's GARY LANGER, SOFI SINOZICH, CHAD KIEWIET DE JONGE and GREGORY HOLYK: http://abcn.ws/2f3PMeD
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Why President Obama's Campaign Blitz For Clinton is Historic
As he barnstorms swing states in the closing days of the 2016 race, President Obama is forging an unprecedented final campaign for an outgoing incumbent president not seen in the modern age -- and a move that could help tip the scale in Hillary Clinton's favor, ABC's JORDYN PHELPS reports. Obama is spending every day this week crisscrossing the map to stump for Clinton in key battleground states, and her campaign is capitalizing on his strong approval numbers, which are the highest they've been since the early days of his presidency. http://abcn.ws/2eer7Cv
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Black Early Voting Down in Key Battleground States
Turnout among African-American voters in some key early-voting states may be cause for concern for Hillary Clinton. Florida and North Carolina, which are both critical battleground states in this election, have released racial data on early voters showing that they have so far accounted for a smaller percentage of people who had voted at this point before Election Day 2012 reports ABC's MEGHAN KENEALLY. "The fact is that the overall rate of black participation is somewhat more disconcerting to the Clinton campaign" than the Trump campaign, University of Florida political science professor Daniel Smith told ABC News. http://abcn.ws/2eotGp9
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These States Allow Early Voters to Change Their Minds
With less than a week before Election Day, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump offered some startling advice to early voters who might be second-guessing their selection: Switch your vote. His target was Democratic voters who have cast their ballot for Hillary Clinton but may be having a bad case of "buyer's remorse," he said, calling his suggestion a "public service announcement." "In other words, you want to change your vote," he said at a Tuesday campaign rally in Eau Claire, Wisconsin. ABC's ALANA ABRAMSON has more. http://abcn.ws/2fcPUsW
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