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| |  |  |  |  | THE TAKE with ABC News' Rick Klein |  |  | It all seemed so easy, so … normal. GOP leaders released their consensus framework, the president delivered a coordinated address, and the Freedom Caucus and conservative outside groups spoke with one voice. Tax reform means so much to the Republican Party at this moment – the only legislative item with any real shot at passing in 2017 – that it's easy to lose focus on how long a shot that really is. The lack of numbers in the outline wasn't strategy – it was the reality of proposing something that wouldn't balloon the deficit, fork over billions to the wealthy, and get away with erasing spreadsheets full of popular tax breaks. Selling it as a populist victory – a "middle-class miracle," as President Trump described it? Careful going here: Only 45 percent of Americans want a tax cut for businesses, with 48 percent opposed, according to the new ABC News/Washington Post poll. Sixty-two percent oppose a tax cut for higher-income people. The president is expected to be more involved than he was in health care. Clearly he wants a tax cut, but his conflicting priorities – and, of course, the erratic and unpredictable ways he expresses them – leave him as the biggest wild card in the equation, yet again. This bill has to survive the swamp, and it also has to survive the president. |  |  |  |  | Frustrated that the largest state in the union, and arguably the most diverse, was an afterthought in the race to select presidential nominees last go-around, California chose to move up its primary to early March in 2020. On the Democratic side, California voters will likely favor a proven progressive, a recognized resister. There is buzz already about whether locals considering a run, like Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti and Sen. Kamala Harris, could benefit. Could the change reduce the inflated role of early voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire? Maybe, but that's unlikely. A candidate could arguably try skipping those very white, very particular states to focus on competing out west. But from the Redwood Forest to the border with Mexico, from the Golden Gate to Hollywood, face-to-face, hand-shaking, retail politics can be next to impossible in the California. It could mean Iowa and New Hampshire wind up counting more than ever. A candidate who enters the race strong, gains some momentum and airtime, could wrap it up fast with a delegate haul from California. The move could end up leaving little time for an underdog or alternative voice to build steam. It could favor the favorite, ABC News' MaryAlice Parks writes. |  |  |  |  |  | What you need to know today |  |  | 1. Taking heat on Puerto Rico and pressure to lift Jones Act, President Trump meets with Acting Department of Homeland Security Director Elaine Duke today. 2. Details and dollar figures to follow, but the GOP tax outline is here: Slash the corporate tax rate 20 percent, lower the top individual tax rate, nix the estate tax, expand the standard deduction and child tax credits. 3. Trump's not happy with Tom Price, but what about Scott Pruitt? The Environmental Protection Agency confirmed Pruitt took chartered and military flights that cost taxpayers more than $58,000. 4. b>Boris Epshteyn, a former top Trump aide, gets his turn today before the House Intelligence Committee in its Russia probe. 5. A new ABC News/Washington Post poll: In the wake of several recent hurricanes, 55 percent mainly blame climate change, vs. 41 percent who say happenstance is the reason for the severity of the storms. 6. No repeal, but: Trump says he may sign an executive order that he says would allow people to purchase health insurance across state lines. |  |  |  | "I think they're afraid of their players, you want to know the truth."-- President Trump to Fox News on NFL owners |  | Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch headlines the Fund for American Studies (TFAS) "Defending Freedom" Luncheon at the Trump Hotel at 12 p.m. |  |  | This email was sent to bamsdum.xiomi@blogger.com
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