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The Note: Trump Tracking Up

 

   
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abc NEWS THE NOTE
November 1, 2016 MORE POLITICS >
Trump Tracking Up
Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point
Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI's email investigation. While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she's now a slim point behind Donald Trump -- a first since May -- in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. Forty-six percent of likely voters support Trump in the latest results, with 45 percent for Clinton. Taking it to the decimal for illustrative purposes, a mere .7 of a percentage point divides them. Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent. More from ABC's GARY LANGER: http://abcn.ws/2f5k1EM
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Clinton Campaign Manager Robby Mook on 'Break in Protocol' by FBI
Hillary Clinton's campaign manager today called FBI Director James Comey's letter to Congress regarding the emails of a top Clinton associate a "break in protocol." "Director Comey has been criticized from both sides on this now," Robby Mook said today on "Good Morning America," ABC's KATIE KINDELAN reports. "You have a former attorney general under President Obama, a former attorney general under George W. Bush both saying this was a mistake. You've had former Justice Department officials saying it was a mistake." He continued, "We've come to learn from anonymous leaks that are coming out that Director Comey's own superiors at Justice warned him not to do this. This is a break in protocol." http://abcn.ws/2fqiKcP
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Trump's Deputy Campaign Manager Expresses Confidence
Donald Trump's deputy campaign manager today said "there's an enthusiasm gap" for Hillary Clinton voters, and expressed confidence that his candidate will win the election as a result of it. Bossie focused primarily on the issue of enthusiasm in making his case that Trump will win, also citing the FBI's latest review of Clinton's use of a private email server during her tenure as secretary of state. "We have closed this gap dramatically over the last week," Bossie told "Good Morning America," ABC's MICHAEL EDISON HAYDEN writes. http://abcn.ws/2f5ow2n
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Analysis - ABC's Rick Klein
The collective view from Democratic and Republican strategists on the fallout from the FBI director's announcement: that could have been worse. While conceding that it will probably be another day or two until polling can fully reflect the impact, top strategists in both parties are saying the race didn't get upended by the late-October surprise. It gave Donald Trump a crisper closing argument that will boost GOP turnout. It may make Trump likelier to carry Iowa and Ohio, and could save a few Senate seats for Republicans. But the narrowing of polls nationally and in other key battlegrounds doesn't appear to have changed the stubborn electoral math confronting Team Trump. (It's in that context, and that context alone, that makes trips to New Mexico, Wisconsin, and Michigan this week make sense.) Yes, Trump is now leading by a point in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. But recall the race was tightening quickly before Friday's bombshell. While Clinton's camp is calling on more information, and quickly, from FBI Director James Comey, it's not clear that they should actually want that. If the story drifts away, the campaign continues over the final week – and Democrats still like their odds.
Key Storylines to Watch
It's a year that has shaken the U.S. political system. It's also not over yet, and it has unleashed forces that are not likely to settle down with the election. Next Tuesday's election pits two of the best-known and least-liked candidates in history against each other. The demographics and voter sentiments are drawing divisions that could hardly be sharper. And just in case there weren't enough October surprises, the calendar has gifted us a whole week of November campaigning. One week out, here's a glimpse of some of the major storylines to watch on Election Day – and beyond from ABC's RICK KLEIN: http://abcn.ws/2eitcR7
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Nearly Every State Has Asked for Federal Help to Protect Voting Systems From Hacks
Nearly every state has asked the Department of Homeland Security to help protect election systems from hacks, according to the latest tally by DHS. With only eight days until Election Day, 46 states and 35 county or local election agencies have reached out to the department for assistance. Only 33 states and 11 localities had asked for help as of Oct. 10, 2016, reports ABC's GENEVA SANDS. Time is of the essence for states that need assistance since it can take up to two weeks from the time DHS receives authorization to run the scans and identify vulnerabilities. http://abcn.ws/2f6jJMf
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Kasich Snubs Trump With Write-in Vote for McCain
Former Republican presidential candidate John Kasich publicly snubbed Donald Trump with a write-in vote for Sen. John McCain, according to his spokesman. The Ohio governor has been a critic of Trump blasting the real estate mogul's claims of a "rigged" election as "silly," ABC's BEN GITTLESON notes. Kasich voted Republican down the rest of the ballot, according to the spokesman. http://abcn.ws/2e7Ax2T
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